Jump to content

List of marginal seats before the 2019 United Kingdom general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2019 general election was held on 12 December 2019. These were the target seats for each of the political parties, according to results from the previous election in 2017.[1]

[2]

List by party

[edit]

Conservative

[edit]
Conservative target seats[3]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Perth and North Perthshire SNP 0.02% SNP
2 Kensington Labour 0.03% Conservative
3 Dudley North Labour 0.03% Conservative
4 Newcastle-under-Lyme Labour 0.03% Conservative
5 Crewe and Nantwich Labour 0.04% Conservative
6 Canterbury Labour 0.16% Labour
7 Barrow and Furness Labour 0.22% Conservative
8 Keighley Labour 0.24% Conservative
9 Lanark and Hamilton East SNP 0.26% SNP
10 Ashfield Labour 0.44% Conservative
11 Stroud Labour 0.54% Conservative
12 Bishop Auckland Labour 0.58% Conservative
13 Peterborough Labour 0.64% Conservative
14 Oxford West and Abingdon Liberal Democrats 0.68% Liberal Democrats
15 Westmorland and Lonsdale Liberal Democrats 0.75% Liberal Democrats
16 Colne Valley Labour 0.76% Conservative
17 Ipswich Labour 0.81% Conservative
18 Bedford Labour 0.81% Labour
19 Stockton South Labour 0.82% Conservative
20 Edinburgh South West SNP 1.11% SNP

Labour

[edit]
Labour target seats[4]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Southampton Itchen Conservative 0.03% Conservative
2 Glasgow South West SNP 0.08% SNP
3 Glasgow East SNP 0.10% SNP
4 Arfon Plaid Cymru 0.16% Plaid Cymru
5 Airdrie and Shotts SNP 0.26% SNP
6 Pudsey Conservative 0.31% Conservative
7 Hastings and Rye Conservative 0.32% Conservative
8 Chipping Barnet Conservative 0.32% Conservative
9 Thurrock Conservative 0.34% Conservative
10 Lanark and Hamilton East SNP 0.36% SNP
11 Preseli Pembrokeshire Conservative 0.37% Conservative
12 Motherwell and Wishaw SNP 0.38% SNP
13 Inverclyde SNP 0.49% SNP
14 Calder Valley Conservative 0.52% Conservative
15 Norwich North Conservative 0.55% Conservative
16 Broxtowe Conservative 0.78% Conservative
17 Stoke-on-Trent South Conservative 0.80% Conservative
18 Telford Conservative 0.81% Conservative
19 Dunfermline and West Fife SNP 0.83% SNP
20 Bolton West Conservative 0.92% Conservative

Liberal Democrat

[edit]
Lib Dem target seats[5]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 North East Fife SNP 0.00% Liberal Democrats
2 Richmond Park Conservative 0.04% Liberal Democrats
3 Ceredigion Plaid Cymru 0.13% Plaid Cymru
4 St Ives Conservative 0.30% Conservative
5 Sheffield Hallam Labour 1.86% Labour
6 Cheltenham Conservative 2.25% Conservative
7 North Devon Conservative 3.89% Conservative
8 Cheadle Conservative 4.13% Conservative
9 Leeds North West Labour 4.56% Labour
10 Lewes Conservative 5.08% Conservative

SNP

[edit]
SNP target seats[6]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Stirling Conservative 0.15% SNP
2 Rutherglen and Hamilton West Labour 0.26% SNP
3 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Labour 0.28% SNP
4 Glasgow North East Labour 0.38% SNP
5 Midlothian Labour 0.98% SNP
6 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Labour 1.76% SNP
7 Gordon Conservative 2.43% SNP
8 East Lothian Labour 2.76% SNP
9 Edinburgh West Liberal Democrats 2.83% Liberal Democrats
10 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Conservative 3.00% SNP

Plaid Cymru

[edit]
Plaid Cymru targets[7]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Ynys Môn Labour 7.23% Conservative
2 Llanelli Labour 17.62% Labour
3 Blaenau Gwent Labour 18.38% Labour
4 Caerphilly Labour 20.01% Labour
5 Rhondda Labour 20.87% Labour

Brexit Party

[edit]
Brexit Party target seats[8]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Hartlepool Labour n/a Labour

Green Party of England and Wales

[edit]
Green Party target seats[9]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Bristol West Labour 26.5% Labour

Democratic Unionist Party

[edit]
Democratic Unionist Party target seats[10]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 North Down Independent 1.6% Alliance

Ulster Unionist Party

[edit]
Ulster Unionist Party target seats[11][12]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Fermanagh and South Tyrone Sinn Féin 0.8% Sinn Féin
2 South Antrim DUP 3.7% DUP

SDLP

[edit]
Social Democratic and Labour Party target seats[13][14]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Belfast South DUP 2.3% SDLP
2 South Down Sinn Féin 2.4% Sinn Féin

Sinn Féin

[edit]
Sinn Féin target seats[15]
Rank Constituency Winning party 2017 Swing
required
Winning party 2019
1 Belfast North DUP 2.3% Sinn Féin

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Barnes, Peter; Jeavans, Christine (13 November 2019). "Where are the seats that could turn the election?". BBC News.
  2. ^ Jones, Ian (16 January 2024). "List of general election top target seats, by party". Evening Standard. Retrieved 4 May 2024.
  3. ^ "Conservative Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Archived from the original on 11 October 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
  4. ^ "Labour Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Archived from the original on 31 March 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
  5. ^ "Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
  6. ^ "SNP Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
  7. ^ "Plaid Cymru Target Seats 2019". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
  8. ^ Proctor, Kate; Perraudin, Frances (5 December 2019). "Farage hits out at three MEPs who quit Brexit party to back Tories" – via www.theguardian.com.
  9. ^ Drennan, Sue (2 December 2019). "Bristol West: What you need to know for the 2019 General Election". The Bristol Cable.
  10. ^ "DUP targetting North Down seat in December election". 11 November 2019 – via www.rte.ie.
  11. ^ "Upper Bann constituency profile: Five-party target but two-party choice?". BBC News. 26 November 2019.
  12. ^ "The Northern Ireland seats where Brexit and tactical votes will be a gamechanger". inews.co.uk. 8 November 2019.
  13. ^ "South Belfast constituency profile: The DUP seat most under threat". BBC News. 22 November 2019.
  14. ^ McGrath, Dominic. "Here's a list of MPs elected in Northern Ireland". TheJournal.ie.
  15. ^ "A seat-by-seat guide to the general election in Northern Ireland". The Independent. 4 December 2019.

See also

[edit]